Price reductions ticked up this week for the first time since November in the face of rising mortgage rates. Inventory is rising across the country as home-buying affordability takes another hit. The pace of sales inched down, too. We can see the impact of higher mortgage rates slowing homebuyer demand. As demand slows, inventory grows. […]
Are last year’s surprising home price gains evaporating? As interest rates climb again, some of the price signals are softening. Inventory is climbing vs. last year, and home prices have stayed flat for three weeks now. The price reductions data has turned less bullish for future sales also. Mortgage rates are back over 7%. We […]
Each week — for several months now — inventory levels of unsold homes on the market has been expanding compared to last year. Even as inventory declined this week, it’s relatively growing compared to a year ago. This week, inventory fell by half a percent. A year ago it fell by 3% in the week. […]
Mortgage rates are back up over 7% this morning on the back of strong economic growth data. When the economy and job growth are stronger than expected, the bond market assumes that fewer rate cuts are coming. The 10-year bond yield jumped back over 4% and that pushes mortgage rates higher too. Mortgage rates are […]
Last week, the National Association of Realtors released their December pending sales data. The headline was an impressive 8% jump over December of 2022. If you’ve been following along with the Altos data, you’ll know that home sales have been expanding for two months now. They obviously picked up in December when mortgage rates did […]
For several weeks, I’ve been reporting data that shows the housing market growing in 2024. Those metrics, specifically the pace of new listings and new sales contracts, slowed this week. Our immediate sales metric of homes that get offers within a couple days of listing also slowed. New listings and new contracts both still show […]
Based on the trends we can see after the start of the year, I’ll project 2024 will see about 15% home sales growth over 2023. Home prices will be up this year by a few percentage points, also. These are very clear trends as we start the new year. 2022 started insanely strong and weakened […]
The defining characteristic of the 2023 housing market has been dramatically fewer home sellers than any recent year. That’s one reason total sales volume has been so low, but it looks now like that’s starting to change. In this week’s Altos Research video, I look at how home sellers and sales are up, but that […]
A few months ago I published a video where we asked, “How much will home prices gain by the end of the year?” Using a headline like that should come with a trigger warning. We could see that home prices were inching up, but there are many who think that home prices are currently falling. […]
